London Commercial Property – January Round-up

January 2026 London commercial property market shows signs of recovery with strong occupier demand for prime, ESG-compliant offices and retail outperforming expectations. While 2025 ended with a “wait-and-see” approach following budget uncertainties, 2026 is expected to see improved investment sentiment driven by anticipated interest rate cuts.

Office Market

  • Demand & Supply: Office demand remains robust, particularly for high-quality, prime locations, with a shortage of new, high-specification, sustainable space in key London areas.
  • Rental Growth: Rental growth is expected to continue but at a more moderate pace, with 2026 forecasts around 3.8% for London.
  • Trends: “Prime” has become more location-specific, and in some instances, a perfect location can compensate for a less-than-perfect building, notes Savills.

Retail & Logistics

  • Performance: The retail sector performed well in 2025, recording a total return of 9.6%, with shopping centres and food stores leading the way.
  • Outlook: While retail vacancy rates are down, rental growth might soften slightly as occupiers navigate higher operating costs, but the sector remains defensive.
  • Industrial: London is expected to outperform in the industrial sector, with forecasts of 4.1% for 2026.

Investment & Policy

  • Investment Activity: A pick-up in investment volumes is expected in 2026 following a slower 2025, particularly as interest rates are predicted to fall.
  • Policy Changes: A new five-category business rates multiplier structure comes into effect in April 2026, marking a significant shift for occupiers in retail, hospitality, and leisure.
  • Key Focus: Investors are focusing on core, prime assets, driven by ESG considerations and the risk of secondary assets becoming stranded due to tightening EPC regulations.

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